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Welcome to The Tom Bilyeu Show! In this episode, I’m joined by my co-host Drew for a deep dive into some of the most important and controversial topics shaping our world right now. We kick things off by unpacking the first 100 days of Trump’s presidency—why I think it’s still way too early to call a winner or a loser, and how moves on tariffs and trade are shaking up the global order, with a close look at Ray Dalio’s predictions about America, China, and the end of the status quo.
We also break down the latest from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, picking apart Russia’s official terms to end the war—are they even serious, or just posturing?—and what it would really take to get to peace. The conversation turns to the economic showdown between the U.S. and China: who can actually endure more economic pain, what China’s purchasing power means for America, and how the global balance of power could shift.
It’s not all geopolitics—we get into the future of AI and robotics, reacting to Elon Musk’s bold claim that robots will outperform human surgeons in just a few years, and what kind of world we’re headed into if that’s true.
For some fun, Drew and I weigh in on the viral question sweeping the internet: could 100 humans take down a single gorilla? (Spoiler: I draw on history and human nature to make my case.) And finally, we discuss psychologist Arthur Aron’s famous 36 questions to fall in love—do they actually work, and what do they reveal about emotional connection in the digital age?
If you’re looking for honest perspectives, sharp analysis, and a blueprint for making sense of an unpredictable world, you’re in the right place. Let’s get into it!
00:00 Intro
00:50 First 100 Days Of Trump 2.0
09:44 Ray Dalio - "It's Already Too Late"
22:23 Bring Back That Hairline
23:30 Russia Offers Term For A Peace Deal
30:12 China Not Backing Down
37:28 Build Your Online Empire
38:40 Is China The Number 1 Economy
44:33 100 men vs 1 Gorilla
48:21 36 Questions To Love
54:18 Highlights From Today's Live
Trump first 100 days, US-China trade war, tariffs, world order, Ray Dalio, global economy, manufacturing, deglobalization, China purchasing power, US debt, midterm elections, decoupling, currency manipulation, BRICS, Russia-Ukraine war, Russia sanctions, annexed Ukrainian regions, NATO membership, denazification, energy prices, rare earth minerals, long-term US debt, AI in surgery, Neuralink, robotic surgery, Elon Musk, economic pain tolerance, US allies, Canada relations, 36 questions to fall in love
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Welcome back to Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu. In this thought-provoking episode, Tom sits down with Mike Baker—former CIA officer, security expert, and host of the President’s Daily Brief podcast—to dissect some of the most pressing issues facing America and the world today.
Together, they dive deep into the real threats posed by China, from cyber warfare and TikTok’s influence, to intellectual property theft and military ambitions in the South China Sea. Mike shares his insider perspective on just how vulnerable the U.S. population is to manipulation and misinformation, and why America’s short-term focus could leave us blindsided by powers playing the long game.
The conversation doesn’t stop there. Tom and Mike tackle America’s mounting debt crisis—why it could be our biggest existential danger—and break down the hard realities of realpolitik, from uneasy alliances to the sometimes ugly calculations behind foreign policy. They take an unflinching look at the Russia-Ukraine war, Israel and Gaza, and the cultural and geopolitical tensions threatening to reshape the global order.
With candid stories, sharp analysis, and a willingness to question popular narratives, Mike and Tom challenge us to confront the world as it is, not as we wish it to be. If you’re ready to move past the headlines and get real about the forces shaping our future, this episode is for you.
00:00 China's Influence and Manipulation
19:27 Counterintelligence: Targeting and Loyalty Challenges
24:05 China's View on Ukraine & Taiwan
39:15 Flexible Pandemic Response Debate
45:27 Debt: The Biggest U.S. Threat
01:01:32 Career Politicians and Wealth Accumulation
01:05:43 Putin Stalling Amid Peace Talks
01:15:55 Economy Concerns Over Foreign Issues
01:24:56 Iranian Regime: Root of Conflict
01:39:28 Phosphate Mining Debate in Florida
01:43:51 University Activism: Passion or Organization?
China, US-China relations, TikTok, disinformation, economic espionage, South China Sea, intellectual property theft, Cold War, Taiwan, Russia-Ukraine war, US debt, reserve currency, rare earth minerals, cyber warfare, drone warfare, realpolitik, Saudi Arabia, border security, immigration, cartel trafficking, American decline, NATO, political polarization, populism, Middle East conflict, Hamas, Israel-Palestine, Iran nuclear deal, European defense, social media influence
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Welcome to The Tom Bilyeu Show! In this episode, I’m taking you behind the headlines to dissect the global chess game playing out on the world stage right now. Alongside my co-host Drew, we dive into the intensifying U.S.-China standoff—breaking down the latest PR battles, the real story behind the tariffs, and what China’s increasingly bold rhetoric means for America’s position.
I walk you through America’s “master plan” to rebalance world trade, look at how the IMF and World Bank are being called to return to their original missions, and why redefining global economic leadership is more urgent than ever. We don’t shy away from tough questions—how long is this trade conflict really going to last, are we losing public trust, and can America rally allies to maintain its influence?
We also zoom out to examine escalating tensions elsewhere, including India’s hardline stance on terrorism and the controversial climate experiments happening in the U.K. On the home front, Drew and I debate the ongoing legal skirmishes over parental rights in education, and what it means when judges block the President’s executive orders.
This episode is all about honest takes—no spin, no holding back. If you want clarity on the stories shaping the future, from global economics to technology’s next leap, and what it all means for America, you won’t want to miss this one.
So buckle up and join me for a hard-hitting conversation on The Tom Bilyeu Show, where no question is off the table and every headline gets the scrutiny it deserves.
00:00 Intro
00:47 Trump Lies About Talking With China?
09:54 Bessent Breaks Down The Int'l Financial World Order
22:18: Importance of Cybersecurity
23:19 Proposed Changes To The IMF And World Bank
35:26 Trump 2028 Hats Hit The Market
40:47 India Vows Revenge Against Terrorists
43:25 The U.K Wants To Dim Sunlight
45:50 Judges vs Trump
51:42 Highlights From The Live!
China-US tariffs, fentanyl crisis, US-China trade war, Bretton Woods system, IMF reform, World Bank reform, Trump administration policies, America First doctrine, global economic rebalancing, manufacturing in China, currency manipulation, US trade deficits, global supply chains, Pax Americana, mission creep in international institutions, climate change policies, energy access in developing countries, nuclear energy, fossil fuels, DEI policies, judicial activism, LGBTQ curriculums in schools, executive orders (EOs), India-Pakistan tensions, Kashmir attacks, geopolitical conflicts, UK dimming the sun experiment, global warming solutions, drone warfare, cyber attacks.
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Welcome back to The Tom Bilyeu Show! In today’s episode, I'm joined by my co-host Drew for a no-holds-barred breakdown of some of the most pressing—and unpredictable—stories shaping our world right now. We open the conversation with a topic that’s stirred up a lot of controversy: my so-called “soft stance” on Trump. Am I going easy on him? Or am I just refusing to blindly pick a side in a world obsessed with team sports? I lay out exactly why I try not to get caught up in partisan noise, and why I’m focused on outcomes over tribal victories.
We dig into Trump’s evolving rhetoric about tariffs on China, asking whether it’s an indicator of chaos, strategy, or simply political survival. This leads naturally into the fireworks within the Trump administration itself: Elon Musk and Scott Bessant allegedly got into a screaming match behind closed doors, and Elon is in the spotlight again—this time reducing his commitments at Doge as Tesla’s profits tumble. Drew and I unpack the psychology behind these power struggles and what they reveal about the cost of leadership at the highest level.
Making sense of today also means looking to history. We take a hard look at how echoes of World War II are coloring perspectives on the Ukraine-Russia conflict, and I share how these parallels challenge even my own instincts toward war, peace, and negotiation.
On the home front, we turn to the Trump administration’s proposal of a “baby bonus” to incentivize motherhood and delve into what’s really driving the birth rate decline—not just here, but around the world.
And because you can’t ignore the cultural temperature online, we tackle the latest social media scandal: Shannon Sharpe vs. an OnlyFans model. Our take? The risks, the fallout, and what it all says about modern fame.
This episode delivers hard questions, honest debate, and my candid perspective on why refusing to blindly follow a side is sometimes the only way to see what actually matters. Dive in with us, challenge how you think, and as always—focus on the outcome, not just the headlines.
00:00 Intro
00:49 How To Think Politics 101
04:49 Did Trump Change His Mind On Tariffs
13:47 Bessent Says China's Economy Needs Balance
21:20 Bessent and Musk Got Beef?!
25:16 Speaking Of Beef Have You Tried This?
31:07 Musk Censors On X?!
40:55 WWII Reminder About Russia Ukraine
48:40 Get To The Next Level
49:46 $5000 For Some Babies?!
57:42 Shannon Sharp Gets Caught Up!
1:04:26 Highlights From Live Show April 24, 2025
Trump tariffs on China, US-China trade war, Elon Musk Tesla profits, incentivizing motherhood, Trump administration policies, team-based politics, political polarization, working class voters, Democratic vs Republican party shifts, stock market uncertainty, Trump Art of the Deal, tariff negotiation strategy, midterm elections, manufacturing in America, economic policy adjustments, China economic sustainability, trade deficits, rare earth embargo, Elon Musk and Dogecoin, IRS leadership controversy, social media censorship, free speech on X (Twitter), decline in US birth rates, baby bonus proposals, global birth rate decline, women over 40 childbirth trends, cultural effects on birth rates, OnlyFans controversy, Shannon Sharpe lawsuit, civil vs criminal cases, influencer scandals.
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The money supply is being manipulated to your disadvantage, unless you are hyper educated in finance.
That's why the poor get poorer, and the rich get richer.
Inflation is theft. The government steals from you, so that they can do things that they know you'll vote against.
They inflate the money supply, which leaves the same number of dollars in your bank account, but gives them some of the buying power (that should be yours).
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Welcome back to The Tom Bilyeu Show! On today’s episode, I’m joined by my co-host Drew as we tackle some of the biggest headlines and burning questions shaping our world right now. We kick things off with a look at the wild swings in the stock market, why gold’s hitting new highs, and what the real story is behind Bitcoin’s latest move. Is it a safe hedge or just another risky play? And what’s fueling all this uncertainty? You guessed it—global politics, especially the ongoing economic showdown between the US and China.
We do a deep dive on China’s economy and the high-stakes trade war, breaking down what unpredictable tariffs, currency manipulation, and global supply chain shifts mean for businesses—and for everyday people. I share why predictability matters more than just being “up or down,” and what might come next as companies like Nike, Apple, and Amazon rethink their dependence on China.
But it’s not just markets we’re watching—this episode tackles the Supreme Court’s latest moves around parents’ rights, LGBTQ+ issues in education, and what it all means for the future of childhood learning. We also talk technology and innovation, from Google’s antitrust fight and its impact on the global AI race, to the radical advances in AI-powered coding and what this could mean for the future of work.
We finish with a candid look at relationships and modern life—why understanding our evolutionary programming matters, and how to navigate trust and boundaries in the age-old “girls’ night out” debate.
As always, I bring you my unfiltered perspective—challenging the easy narratives, pushing for deeper understanding, and (hopefully) leaving you with practical insights you can use to level up your own life. Buckle up, it’s another packed episode of The Tom Bilyeu Show.
00:00 Intro
00:48 State Of The U.S. Economy
06:17 State Of The Chinese Economy Amidst Tariff War
26:11 Get Your Money Right!
27:19 SCOTUS Takes On LGBTQ Teaching In School
32:19 Google Stands Up To D.O.J.
36:12 Loveable A.I. For Easy To Make Apps
41:22 HHS Head RFK Bans Food Dye
43:16 True Meaning Of Girls Night Out
52:56 Highlights From The Live!
stock market, Dow Jones, recession, Great Depression, Bitcoin (BTC), gold prices, Nasdaq, S&P, volatility, portfolio, Michael Saylor, inflation hedge, year over year, Trump tariffs, China economy, US-China trade war, supply chain, tariffs, manufacturing, global GDP, purchasing power, currency manipulation, yuan depreciation, financial market instability, factory shutdowns, shipping, trade routes, deglobalization, trade decoupling, Vietnam, India, Mexico, Apple, Nike, Walmart, Costco, semiconductor ban, ASML, Taiwan, chip manufacturing, AI arms race, Google antitrust, monopoly, OpenAI, Microsoft, Manhattan Project exception, innovation, regulatory bodies, consumer protection, DOJ, government intervention, Lovable app, no-code coding, Firebase, Claude 3.7, AI productivity, coder frustration, ChatGPT, writer’s room, Anthropic, coding automation, FDA, food dyes, RFK, obesity epidemic, chronic health, Supreme Court, First Amendment, LGBTQ, parental rights, religious freedom, book banning, education policy, indoctrination, children's rights, homosexuality, marriage equality
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On today’s episode of Impact Theory, host Tom Bilyeu sits down with renowned political scientist and entrepreneur Ian Bremmer for an unfiltered, wide-ranging conversation on the chaotic state of global geopolitics. From the uncertainty created by Trump’s shifting trade and tariff policies to the deepening rift between the U.S. and its allies, Ian breaks down the implications for America’s future on the world stage.
The two dive deep into America’s evolving relationship with China, examining whether decoupling from Chinese manufacturing is an existential necessity, while also debating the risks of turning away from historic allies when new threats emerge. Ian unpacks the structural kleptocracy embedded in American politics—and he and Tom wrestle with whether the involvement of entrepreneurial titans like Elon Musk in government is a net benefit or a dangerous new conflict of interest.
But the conversation doesn’t stop at politics. The looming impact of artificial intelligence, fears of societal schisms, and the question of who gets left behind in the next tech revolution take center stage. Ian and Tom also tackle complex questions around the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, America’s commitment to free speech, and the urgent need for the country to live up to its founding values.
If you want to make sense of the tumultuous global landscape, and hear an honest, at times provocative exploration of what lies ahead, this episode is a must-listen.
00:00 "Trump's Strategy: Chaos vs. Global Economic Fragmentation"
07:08 U.S.-China Trade Tensions Rising
12:18 U.S.-China Competition Strategies
15:16 "Money's Influence on Democracy"
20:05 Elon's Actions Undermining US Alliances
21:50 "Critique of US Political Practices"
26:50 "Disillusionment and AI's Rising Impact"
28:30 AI Transformation in Industries
34:11 Trump's Misaligned Russia-Ukraine Strategy
36:16 Trump's Advisors on Russia Sanctions
38:55 Putin's Favorable Treatment of Trump
41:48 Middle East Tensions and Diplomatic Moves
47:22 Uphold Rule of Law Globally
48:31 "American Leaders Failing on Liberty"
Trump trade policy, tariffs, US-China relations, global economic uncertainty, American manufacturing, semiconductor industry, Taiwan, CHIPS Act, decoupling, supply chain security, trade war, allies and trade deals, US-Europe relations, USMCA, NAFTA, decoupling from China, geopolitical risk, foreign policy, rule of law, kleptocracy, political dysfunction, election funding, campaign finance, TikTok policy, lobbying, policy influence, Elon Musk in government, cabinet appointments, conflict of interest, blind trust, American bureaucracy, immigration policy, skilled workers, de-risking, global investment, capital flight, AI impacts, AI job displacement, automation, individual AI agents, digital divide, access to technology, AI in banking, AI governance, AI and society, free speech, culture wars, green card holders, citizen rights, humanitarian aid, Israel-Gaza conflict, Palestine, ethnic cleansing, Russia-Ukraine war, NATO, sanctions on Russia, sanctioning Russian energy, Iranian relations, US-Iran talks, democracy, values, American exceptionalism, education in the US, international students.
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Welcome back to the Tom Bilyeu Show! In this episode, I’m joined by my co-host Drew as we break down some of the most pivotal news and thought-provoking ideas shaping our world right now. We open with the shocking headlines: Pope Francis has passed away, Klaus Schwab steps down from the World Economic Forum, and China is amping up global trade tensions. It feels like the global order is hanging in the balance—and we’re here to analyze what that really means.
We also dig into the latest drama at the Supreme Court after a midnight injunction put the brakes on a major deportation case. It raises fundamental questions about due process, presidential power, and what happens when our governance systems are pushed to their limits. Drew and I share our takes on the tension between branches of government and what it might mean for the future.
That’s just the start. We tackle the hot-button “dumb voter problem” with a must-hear Bret Weinstein clip, discuss the ever-escalating war on information (including Hillary Clinton’s controversial remarks on propaganda and free speech), and take a hard look at the rise of advanced technologies—from mind-controlled hands and drone grenade launchers to the coming explosion of AI-powered creativity. How do we as individuals, leaders, and citizens adapt to these massive changes? And how do we inspire young people to reclaim their drive and ambition in an era dominated by an aging elite?
No topic is off limits, whether it’s the shifting standards around beauty in video games, the evolution of content creation in a world run by AI, or the impact of global politics on our daily lives. Drew and I keep it real, challenge each other’s perspectives, and offer practical insights for anyone determined to be legendary in uncertain times.
So, if you’re ready for a fast-paced, no-nonsense breakdown of what’s happening in the world—plus some laughs along the way—don’t skip this episode of the Tom Bilyeu Show. Let’s jump in!
00:00 Intro
01:01 World Mourns Pope Francis
05:16 Emergency Injunction From SCOTUS Against Trump
16:06 The Epidemic Of Misinformation
20:37 Hillary Clinton Wants Charges For MisInformation
26:40 Klaus Schwab To Step Down From WEF
30:03 China Warns Against US Alliance
38:59 China Has A Drone Grenade Launcher
40:26 Cluely Helps You Cheat On Everything!
53:35 Sexy Video Game Characters Is A MUST
Pope Francis death, World Economic Forum, Klaus Schwab resignation, China trade deals, US-China relations, Supreme Court injunction, Alito dissent, Thomas dissent, Venezuelan deportation, Alien Enemies Act, Kilmar Garcia case, due process, Trump executive orders, presidential power, border security, immigration crisis, blue state hypothesis, Elon Musk, Brett Weinstein, dumb voter problem, free speech, misinformation, malinformation, disinformation, Douglas Murray, Joe Rogan, expert opinion, heterodox ideas, public discourse, COVID policies, Hillary Clinton, propaganda charges, elite class, control vs. discussion, generational power shift, youth disengagement, American gerontocracy, unemployment rate, cultural apathy, AI technology, Google XR glasses, future tech, mind-controlled hands, drone grenade launcher, China military technology, XR glasses, Cluley, AI cheating, Cluley glasses ad, AI-powered coding, Google Firebase, app development, AI animation, animation technology, YouTube content creation, streaming services, Netflix, MrBeast, content aggregation, video game marketing, character design, marketing to men, beauty standards, evolutionary psychology, sexuality in media, cosplay trends.
Connexion
